France enters their second Group I match on the back of an opening victory, while Iraq suffered a defeat in their opener. The two sides have no recorded head-to-head history. France's win gives them an early advantage in the standings with three points, keeping their top-two qualification hopes firmly alive. Iraq, starting from zero points, remain mathematically alive but face mounting pressure. Our model gives France and a draw equal probability at fifty percent each, with Iraq given no path to victory in this matchup. Both teams will be seeking a result that keeps their tournament ambitions intact, though France's superior position and recent form suggest they enter as the stronger force in Philadelphia.