Türkiye face elimination in their final Group D match against the USA at SoFi Stadium. The Americans have already qualified with six points and arrive in excellent form after two consecutive wins, while Türkiye are winless with back-to-back defeats. History offers little comfort for the home side—the USA won their most recent meeting 2-1. Our model gives the USA a 45 percent chance of victory, with a draw at 45 percent and a Türkiye win just 10 percent likely. For Türkiye, only a win keeps their tournament alive; for the USA, this is a chance to finish group play strongly before the knockout stage begins.