Uruguay and Spain meet in a decisive Group H finale with both teams level on one point and their tournament survival hanging in the balance. Spain holds the recent head-to-head advantage, having won their last encounter 2-1. Both sides arrive in poor form, each managing only a draw in their opening matches, leaving them fighting to avoid elimination. Our model gives Spain and Uruguay equal chances at advancing, each around 45 percent, with a draw at 45 percent likely. With qualification still alive for both, this match will determine who progresses and who goes home. The winner takes a significant step toward the knockout stage, while a draw leaves both teams vulnerable depending on other results in the group.