Cape Verde Islands and Saudi Arabia meet in a decisive Group H finale with both teams level on one point and their tournament hopes hanging in the balance. Each arrives on the back of a draw, leaving qualification scenarios wide open. Our model gives Cape Verde a 35 percent chance of victory, with Saudi Arabia at 30 percent and a draw at 35 percent—reflecting the tight nature of this contest. Both teams remain alive for a top-two finish, making this final group match crucial for their World Cup survival. The winner significantly improves their knockout stage prospects, while another draw could prove costly depending on goal difference and other results.