Paraguay and Australia meet in a decisive Group D finale at Levi's Stadium with both teams level on three points and their tournament futures uncertain. Paraguay arrives on the back of a loss following an earlier win, while Australia has reversed that sequence with a loss then a victory. Our model gives both teams an equal fifty percent chance of advancing, with a draw also equally likely. Neither side has injury concerns heading into the match. Both teams remain alive in the race for the knockout stages, making this a genuine win-or-go-home scenario. The winner will likely secure a top-two finish, while the loser faces elimination. Expect intensity befitting the stakes.