Tunisia and Japan meet in Group F with both teams still alive in the qualification race. Japan enters with one point after drawing their opener, while Tunisia lost their first match and sit on zero points. The teams have split their previous encounters, with Japan winning 2-0 in one meeting and Tunisia claiming a 3-0 victory in another, suggesting an unpredictable rivalry. Our model gives Japan a slight edge in winning chances at 45 percent, with a draw at 45 percent and Tunisia at 10 percent. Tunisia must respond after their opening loss, while Japan seeks to build on their draw. Both teams need points to keep their top-two hopes alive in what shapes as a tightly contested affair.